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Our new Deepseek-based AI states "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"

Super Bowl predictions from our new Deepseek-based AI trained to be better at forecasting

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No one can anticipate the future however at Lightning Rod Labs we are training AI to provide it its finest shot. With approximately date news and a little however spirited 14 Billion parameter design, our AI is boldly forecasting the unforeseeable. Join us as we try to address humankind's most difficult concerns.

Super Bowl Sunday is almost upon us and, just as 2 years back, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread currently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the statistics are well studied, there remain many pressing concerns that are less simple to pin down. Our company, Lightning arrester Labs, has been mining concerns from places like polymarket.com and training a large language design to be better at forecasting the future (and have actually seen some intriguing enhancements - research study paper incoming). This week we turned its cold, calculating eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can provide us some insight into the finer points of what we can expect this Sunday.

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Background

Our AI is a 14 billion parameter model which is actually on the smaller sized side. (Some estimates suggest ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION criteria and trained using 8000 H100 GPUs. We used 8.) Additionally, its understanding cutoff is from lots of months earlier so we have actually developed an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each question we offer the news and watch as the AI reasons its method through unknown area to make its best forecast possible.

And Now ... The Important Questions

We postured the following questions to our AI and gauged its response. While we have seen prediction improvements from our training, use these quotes for prop betting at your own danger.

Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 5% chance

Therefore it seems this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI thinks Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock solid, but a little too private for a post-Super Bowl proposition. Plus got ta consider if the Chiefs lose. That would be an uncomfortable proposal ...

First, I'll take a look at the key points from the short articles. Travis has remained in a relationship with Taylor considering that 2023. He's a big football star, and she's been supportive of his career, attending his video games. They appear to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has even invited her pals and family to the Super Bowl, showing her commitment.

Some fans are delighted, while others, specifically Swifties, are a bit uncertain, especially given remarks Travis made about Donald Trump attending the Super Bowl. That has triggered some Swifties to question how ideal Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple seems to be keeping their relationship private and not resolving the speculation straight.

I think the essential points are the speculation and his evasive responses. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is a crucial occasion, the odds and his reactions recommend it's more of a possibility instead of a certainty. I 'd approximate a low likelihood, perhaps around 5%, thinking about all factors.

Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the very bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 79% chance

No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from utilizing their signature "tush-push" relocation, now its simply a various front-tush being pressed. Will an AI understand what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even understand what a "tush" is? Will it consider that the Chiefs stopped (debate aside) Josh Allen's similar attempts? Looks like our AI believes they'll be using Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again during this game.

Alright, I'm attempting to determine the likelihood that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the Super Bowl. First, I require to understand what exactly a "tush-push" is. From the posts, it looks like it's a technique where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, uses his legs and lower body strength to press off protectors. It's compared to pushing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that requires strength and method.

Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts uses his leg strength, having done a 600-pound squat, to perform the move. The post discusses that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this strategy, which is quite high. ... I likewise need to consider the protective methods of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs understand the Eagles' "tush-push" strategy, they may adjust their defense accordingly, which might either increase or decrease the number of times the Eagles use it.

Considering that more than 5 appears like a substantial number however possible given their confidence, I would estimate a probability around 60-70% opportunity. This represents their preparation, self-confidence in the technique, and the probability that they'll use it a number of times, particularly if it works early on.

Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump throughout the halftime show efficiency?

AI Final Prediction: 65% possibility

While our AI might not be like us when it pertains to awareness, a soul, or any physical symptom, it certainly has viewpoints on Kendrick Lamar. It was pretty uncertain, waffling backward and forward, however in the end it believes Kendrick isn't going to back down from a fight.

From the short articles, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of criticizing Trump. He's done this in his tunes, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a statement during a previous halftime program when Trump was present in 2018. That seems substantial since it shows he's done it in the past, so possibly he'll do it again. But wait, taking a look at more current posts, it mentions that Lamar is moving away from political statements and focusing more on individual expression. That could mean he's less likely to resolve Trump this time.

However, he's also included in a fight with Drake, which might give him reasons to make some public declarations, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal problems surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a defamation match from Drake, so perhaps he's cautious about consisting of any controversial songs in the performance. But given that he won the Grammys for that track, he might still wish to perform it, even if it's uncertain.

Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a high-profile occasion, Lamar might feel compelled to make a declaration. However, the NFL tends to avoid political declarations during the halftime program, so there's a danger that such content might be limited or softened.

On the other hand, Lamar has a track record of making vibrant carry on huge phases. He's the first solo rap act to headline the halftime program, which might provide him more creative liberty. Plus, his previous habits suggests he's not shy about expressing his opinions, even in public efficiencies.

But I also remember reading that Lamar revealed tiredness about criticizing Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That might indicate he's less motivated to raise Trump this time around, specifically if he's focusing on his fight with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past behavior, present shifts in focus, legal problems, and the event's context-the probability appears to be reasonably high, possibly around 65%.

Will Andy Reid consume a cheeseburger on screen after the incredibly bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 25% chance

Lets be truthful, Andy Reid loves cheeseburgers. And who doesn't? Will the fact that our AI has never ever tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh burger taint its forecast? Appears like theres somewhat of a possibility that if the chiefs taste triumph, Andy will taste Angus Beef.

From the articles, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid eating a cheeseburger throughout a Super Bowl event. Bradshaw later said sorry for the joke, stating he didn't mean to trigger offense and that he actually found it humorous himself. Reid seemed to take it in stride, which may suggest he's the type to laugh it off rather than getting upset.

Looking at the short articles, it points out that Andy Reid is a food enthusiast and likes cheeseburgers. There's a short article particularly about his love for food, which suggests that he's a person who takes pleasure in consuming, specifically with his group. So, if there were strategies to commemorate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would partake in a cheeseburger, specifically if the situation is on screen for an event.

Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?

AI Final Prediction: 50% chance

"Tails never ever fails?" You can't deceive the devices !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have been anticipating the coin toss and 53% are predicting heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 extremely bowls. Potentially profitable? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be deceived and thinks anything can take place when that coin enters the air.

Okay, so I'm trying to figure out the probability that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I know that a coin toss is expected to be 50/50, however there's some historical information that might influence this forecast.

First, I check out through the posts supplied. They all mention the historical data of coin tosses. It appears like tails has actually come up more frequently than heads traditionally. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has actually been the result 30 times, utahsyardsale.com which is about 52%, while heads has actually been 28 times, which is about 48%. So, based simply on history, tails has a slight edge, but it's not a substantial difference.

However, I keep in mind that the result of a coin toss is usually thought about random. The slight historic edge for tails might be due to opportunity. But when making predictions, often people weigh historic data even if it's not statistically considerable. So, I must consider whether this historic predisposition must affect the possibility.

After thinking about it, I choose that while the historical data shows a slight choice for tails, it's not statistically substantial adequate to move the possibility away from 0.5. So, I'll go with 0.5 as the probability, acknowledging that the slight historic edge exists however doesn't bypass the reality that each toss is an independent 50/50 event.

Will the referees cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?

AI Final Prediction: 1% chance

We get it, you think the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na help him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I promise we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training data) I would most likely believe the exact same. BUT, its official now because our AI states the chances are only 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still type of high when it pertains to fraud on a nationwide scale). Appears like the Chiefs will need to win fair and square!

AI Reasoning:

Okay, so I'm attempting to determine the possibility that the referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a quite serious accusation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a great deal of posts that discuss conspiracy theories recommending referees are prejudiced towards the Chiefs. People are indicating some questionable contact recent games, particularly the AFC National championship. That does seem to trigger some uncertainty. I can see why fans might get annoyed when their team loses due to what they perceive as bad officiating.

But then I check out that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "unbelievable" and "ludicrous." They say there's no evidence of systematic predisposition. That's a strong statement from individuals in charge. If they're rejecting it, it may mean there's no genuine basis or they would have addressed it in a different way if there was some fact to it.

Taking a look at the short articles, a number of sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the authorities are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They also discussed that analytical analysis doesn't show any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For circumstances, Mike Pereira from FOX said data shows the Chiefs have actually been punished more given that 2022. That's intriguing because if they were getting unique treatment, you might anticipate fewer penalties, right?

...

So, putting all of it together, the possibility that referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is most likely really low. Maybe not zero because you can't eliminate every possibility, however exceptionally unlikely.

Summary

There you have it everybody, is it even worth viewing the game still? I guess I'll need to wait and see how the game ends up before we unleash this upon the stock market. Fingers crossed for a great game! And hi, if it ends up our AI was wrong about everything, a minimum of it can gain from this.